Ranking Big Ten teams by spring 2023 ESPN FPI standings
Now that spring ball is mostly in the rearview mirror for just about every college football team, we can start looking forward to fall camp and the 2023 season. That will be the next time we see players take the field in any kind of meaningful action.
ESPN FPI is a predictive advanced analytics model that works to figure out what every game's winner will be, what each team's final record will be, which teams will win their division, conference, make the College Football Playoff, and national championship game — and then win it all.
Last year, Michigan football was projected at No. 7 in FPI, with a record of 9.5-2.6, a 1.2% chance it would go undefeated in the regular season, a 9.9% chance it would win the Big Ten East, and a 7.2% chance it would win the conference and make the College Football Playoff. The Wolverines 100% met all of those criteria, so take these predictions with a grain of salt.
Here is how ESPN FPI ranks each Big Ten team, its predicted record, chance to win the conference, make the College Football Playoff, make the national championship game and win it all.
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 78W-L prediction: 4.1-7.9Chance to win Big Ten: 0%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Rank: 75W-L prediction: 3.9-8.1Chance to win Big Ten: 0%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 67W-L prediction: 4.9-7.2Chance to win Big Ten: 0%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Steven Branscombe-USA TODAY Sports
Rank: 52W-L prediction: 5.7-6.3Chance to win Big Ten: 0.1%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 50W-L prediction: 5.4-6.7Chance to win Big Ten: 0.3%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 45W-L prediction: 6.8-5.4Chance to win Big Ten: 0.7%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 44W-L prediction: 6.6-5.4Chance to win Big Ten: 0%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 37W-L prediction: 7.4-4.8Chance to win Big Ten: 1.6%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
David Berding/Getty Images
Rank: 33W-L prediction: 6.5-5.7Chance to win Big Ten: 0.9%Make playoffs chance: 0%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 31W-L prediction: 6.9-5.1Chance to win Big Ten: 0.2%Make playoffs chance: 0.1%Make national championship chance: 0%Win national championship chance: 0%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 20W-L prediction: 8.6-3.8Chance to win Big Ten: 5.9%Make playoffs chance: 1%Make national championship chance: 0.2%Win national championship chance: 0.1%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 10W-L prediction: 9.3-2.7Chance to win Big Ten: 4.6%Make playoffs chance: 10.7%Make national championship chance: 3.5%Win national championship chance: 1%
Despite Michigan constantly being given bad odds, Jim Harbaugh has hoisted this trophy two years in a row. Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 6W-L prediction: 10.0-2.1Chance to win Big Ten: 14.3%Make playoffs chance: 25.9%Make national championship chance: 10.3%Win national championship chance: 3.9%
Photo: Isaiah Hole
Rank: 1W-L prediction: 11.8-1.0Chance to win Big Ten: 71.2%Make playoffs chance: 82.2%Make national championship chance: 57.2%Win national championship chance: 36.7%
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